As a resident of southern China, I eat a lot of lychees every June because Guangdong, where we are located, is one of the most important lychee-producing areas in China. Its cultivation area and output rank first among all provinces and regions in the country, with more than 80 lychees. More than 100 varieties are grown in counties and cities. But lychees, which usually cost around US$2 this year, have soared to US$8 this year. The total lychee output nationwide was 1.78 million tons, a decrease of 45.94% compared with last year. Among them, the two largest production areas, Guangdong is expected to reduce production by more than half compared with last year, and Guangxi is expected to reduce production by nearly 60% compared with last year. The days when I couldn't afford lychees suddenly came without any warning.
The prices of these agricultural products seem to have hit the highway and started a crazy race. Why is it so abnormal? The answer is: extreme weather.
xtreme weather events are becoming more frequent Can you feel it? In recent years, extreme weather has become more and more frequent. In 2021, a heavy rainstorm occurred in Zhengzhou. In 2022, the Yangtze River Basin experienced the most severe high temperature drought since 1961. In 2023, we have just experienced the hottest year on record in the world. For the first time in Beijing’s history, the temperature exceeded 40 degrees for two consecutive days. And this record may be broken again this year.
Guangxi, Guangdong, the main producing area of lychees, continued to be hot from November last year to February this year. "Lychee" did not receive appropriate low-temperature catalysis, directly "lack of sleep" and could not bloom.
This year, a wave of "late spring cold" and heavy rainfall finally knocked down lychee production, and Guangdong and Guangxi reduced production by half. Many people have not realized that in the next ten years, the world's top risk will not be armed conflict or social division, but extreme weather events.
Extreme weather and key changes in the Earth system are the most serious long-term problems. No one can stay out of it.
How serious is the situation? our climate is collapsing and the signs have never been clearer: Climate records are broken across the board Record-breaking high temperatures in 2023 Sea levels hit record highs Ocean surface temperatures hit record high Antarctic sea ice extent drops to record low To sum it up in one sentence: Abnormality becomes the new normal. The most critical indicator is global temperature, which is more than just warming. The World Meteorological Organization found that based on data for the first 10 months of 2023, the global annual average temperature is about 1.4°C higher than the pre-industrial baseline. In China, the average temperature has also increased from just over 8℃ in 1951 to the highest since statistics began, 10.71℃. From the lowest to the highest, the temperature has increased by more than 2℃.
As temperatures get hotter, extreme weather events occur more frequently. At the same time, the occurrence time of extreme high temperatures is also advancing. Spring may usher in high temperatures above 40°C. The probability of high temperature events occurring in many places at the same time and the probability of anti-seasonal extreme phenomena have also increased. As temperatures rise, heavy rainfall and drought also occur more frequently. In other words, we will experience hotter, colder, drier, more waterlogged, and more severe climate changes. Those "once-in-a-hundred-year" and "once-in-a-thousand-year" meteorological disasters may become "annual" here.
Today, in 2024, we may once again usher in the "hottest year in history." More high-temperature heat waves, floods, and droughts, with wider scope and stronger intensity, are about to hit us, crushing everything fragile, including the freedom of fruits. So reducing carbon emissions is important

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